ANÁLISE DA TENDÊNCIA TEMPORAL DOS HOMICÍDIOS POR ARMA DE FOGO NO BRASIL DE 1996 A 2019

Renata Adele de Lima  Nunes; Marizângela Lissandra De Oliveira  Santiago; Raimunda Hermelinda Maia  Macena

doi:10.51161/rems/1414

ANÁLISE DA TENDÊNCIA TEMPORAL DOS HOMICÍDIOS POR ARMA DE FOGO NO BRASIL DE 1996 A 2019

Autores

Renata Adele de Lima Nunes
Marizângela Lissandra De Oliveira Santiago
Raimunda Hermelinda Maia Macena

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51161/rems/1414

Palavras-chave:

EPIDEMIOLOGIA, HOMICÍDIO, VIOLÊNCIA COM ARMA DE FOGO

Resumo

Introdução: Os homicídios por disparo de arma de fogo representam um problema de saúde pública, visto que constituiu 73% de todos os homicídios ocorridos no Brasil, nos últimos cinco anos, merecendo atenção especial dada a sua relevância estatística. Objetivo: Analisar a tendência temporal dos homicídios por arma de fogo no Brasil, no período de 1996 a 2019. Material e métodos: Estudo ecológico e descritivo da série temporal dos óbitos decorrentes de agressões por disparo por arma de fogo (CID X93-X95) ocorridos no Brasil. Os dados foram obtidos do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM/DATASUS), referentes ao período de 1996 a 2019, e analisados através da Regressão de Poisson pelo software livre Joinpoint Regression Program. Resultados: Foi observado aumento significativo dos óbitos decorrentes de agressões por disparo de arma de fogo de 1996 a 2002 [APC = 5,2* (3,7 – 6,7) p<0,001], com discreta redução de 2002 a 2007 [APC = -1,9 (-4,2 – 0,4)], tornando a aumentar significativamente de 2007 a 2017 [APC = 2,3* (1,6 – 2,9) p<0,001] e reduzir significativamente de 2017 a 2019 [APC = -17,3* (-23,3 – -10,8) p<0,001]. A alteração do percentual anual médio de 1999 a 2019 foi praticamente nula [AAPC = 0,2 (-0,6 – 1,1)]. Conclusão: Houve elevação considerável dos homicídios por arma de fogo até 2002, fato que possivelmente motivou a implantação do Estatuto do Desarmamento em 2003. No entanto, a redução daquele tipo de crime nos anos subsequentes à nova lei de controle de compra e porte de armas não foi significativa, passando a aumentar novamente de forma considerável de 2007 a 2017. A dinâmica demográfica brasileira, com a diminuição da população jovem na última década, a qualificação das políticas estaduais de segurança pública, acordos entre facções criminosas dominantes nos estados e a piora nos registros sobre mortalidade podem ter sido responsáveis pela redução significativa daqueles homicídios a partir de 2017, requerendo, portanto, estudos mais aprofundados para melhor compreensão desse fato.

Publicado

2021-07-28

Como Citar

Nunes , R. A. de L., Santiago, M. L. D. O. ., & Macena, R. H. M. . (2021). ANÁLISE DA TENDÊNCIA TEMPORAL DOS HOMICÍDIOS POR ARMA DE FOGO NO BRASIL DE 1996 A 2019. Revista Multidisciplinar Em Saúde, 2(3), 16. https://doi.org/10.51161/rems/1414

Baixar Citação

Edição

v. 2 n. 3 (2021)

Seção

II Congresso Brasileiro de Saúde On-line

Licença

Este trabalho está licenciado sob uma licença Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

O conteúdo desta revista foi migrado para https://editoraintegrar.com.br

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Dispatcher.dispatch(Object:Request) % line  281, file: PKPApplication.inc.php
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Dispatcher.dispatch(Object:Request) % line  281, file: PKPApplication.inc.php
PKPApplication.execute() % line   68, file: index.php

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            PKPTemplateManager.display(frontend/pages/article.tpl) % line  292, file: ArticleHandler.inc.php
         ArticleHandler.view(Array[1], Object:Request) % line  391, file: PKPRouter.inc.php
      PKPRouter._authorizeInitializeAndCallRequest(Array[2], Object:Request, Array[1], false) % line  231, file: PKPPageRouter.inc.php
   PKPPageRouter.route(Object:Request) % line  143, file: Dispatcher.inc.php
Dispatcher.dispatch(Object:Request) % line  281, file: PKPApplication.inc.php
PKPApplication.execute() % line   68, file: index.php

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                                                   SubmissionSearch._getMergedPhraseResults(Object:Journal, Array[4], null, null, null, 500, 1) % line  146, file: SubmissionSearch.inc.php
                                                SubmissionSearch._getMergedKeywordResults(Object:Journal, Array[3], null, null, null, 500, 1) % line  132, file: SubmissionSearch.inc.php
                                             SubmissionSearch._getMergedArray(Object:Journal, Array[1], null, null) % line  263, file: SubmissionSearch.inc.php
                                          SubmissionSearch.retrieveResults(Object:Request, Object:Journal, Array[1], null, null, null, Object:DBResultRange, Array[1]) % line   92, file: RecommendBySimilarityPlugin.inc.php
                                       RecommendBySimilarityPlugin.callbackTemplateArticlePageFooter(Templates::Article::Footer::PageFooter, Array[3]) % line  107, file: HookRegistry.inc.php
                                    HookRegistry.call(Templates::Article::Footer::PageFooter, Array[3]) % line 1267, file: PKPTemplateManager.inc.php
                                 PKPTemplateManager.smartyCallHook(Array[1], Object:Smarty_Internal_Template) % line   43, file: 42362804174f266c598cdb32c3208fc745b92101^1c372c95cd85572e0fbc9a53d0323a0b229cfc78_0.app.frontendpagesarticle.tpl.php
                              content_6781613650b432_13896783(Object:Smarty_Internal_Template) % line  123, file: smarty_template_resource_base.php
                           Smarty_Template_Resource_Base.getRenderedTemplateCode(Object:Smarty_Internal_Template) % line  114, file: smarty_template_compiled.php
                        Smarty_Template_Compiled.render(Object:Smarty_Internal_Template) % line  216, file: smarty_internal_template.php
                     Smarty_Internal_Template.render(false, 1) % line  232, file: smarty_internal_templatebase.php
                  Smarty_Internal_TemplateBase._execute(Object:Smarty_Internal_Template, null, 42362804174f266c598cdb32c3208fc745b92101, null, 1) % line  134, file: smarty_internal_templatebase.php
               Smarty_Internal_TemplateBase.display(frontend/pages/article.tpl, null, 42362804174f266c598cdb32c3208fc745b92101, null) % line  924, file: PKPTemplateManager.inc.php
            PKPTemplateManager.display(frontend/pages/article.tpl) % line  292, file: ArticleHandler.inc.php
         ArticleHandler.view(Array[1], Object:Request) % line  391, file: PKPRouter.inc.php
      PKPRouter._authorizeInitializeAndCallRequest(Array[2], Object:Request, Array[1], false) % line  231, file: PKPPageRouter.inc.php
   PKPPageRouter.route(Object:Request) % line  143, file: Dispatcher.inc.php
Dispatcher.dispatch(Object:Request) % line  281, file: PKPApplication.inc.php
PKPApplication.execute() % line   68, file: index.php

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